time-series extreme event forecasting
LSTM Model Architecture for Rare Event Time Series Forecasting
Time series forecasting with LSTMs directly has shown little success. This is surprising as neural networks are known to be able to learn complex non-linear relationships and the LSTM is perhaps the most successful type of recurrent neural network that is capable of directly supporting multivariate sequence prediction problems. A recent study performed at Uber AI Labs demonstrates how both the automatic feature learning capabilities of LSTMs and their ability to handle input sequences can be harnessed in an end-to-end model that can be used for drive demand forecasting for rare events like public holidays. In this post, you will discover an approach to developing a scalable end-to-end LSTM model for time series forecasting. In this post, we will review the 2017 paper titled "Time-series Extreme Event Forecasting with Neural Networks at Uber" by Nikolay Laptev, et al. presented at the Time Series Workshop, ICML 2017.